Pros Of Being A Professional Poker Player

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February 16, 2021 0 Comments


Being a professional poker player is a daring as well as exciting decision. If you’re successful at the game and want to quit your day job to become a poker pro, it’s an enticing opportunity. However, be warned: Poker strategies and rules are difficult to work, that isn’t for everyone. If you consider taking a risk to become a professional poker player, you should please ensure that it is an educated choice. 
Here are some pros of becoming a professional poker player that might encourage you to take the next step! 
Professionally Pursuing What You Love
One of the most prevalent desires in the world is to do something that you love professionally. For anyone in the poker community saying that there’s profit in this, they’re certainly not doing it only for the money. They love the game and have passion for it. For those who don’t have that, must understand that it is a skill game and requires practice to get better. This is what encourages them to put in the research time required to excel and achieve success through the downtrends.
Also Read: Advantages of Becoming a Professional at Poker
Self Determination And Versatility
Poker players set their own schedules which is a great thing for any professional in any field of work or sport. To stave off poker exhaustion and keep you going, getting this independence will go a long time away. Also, you’ll only be accessible to yourself. Versatility is something that is quite limited in a number of professions nowadays and there’s nothing quite like poker tournaments when it comes to versatility. That’s not to suggest, of course, that it’ll be straightforward. The assumption is that when you do so, no-one will be blowing down your neck.
Earning Big Money
There is still a lot of profit to be gained by playing online poker if you can achieve a high level of experience. In terms of rake and playing rewards, there have been a few improvements in the market in recent years that have limited online poker’s profitability, but it is still possible to obtain a decent income playing poker game. Getting in and getting out of micro stakes is one of the greatest obstacles facing emerging online pros these days. In present-day games, the high rake and low rakeback eat away at the winnings of a micro stakes player, making it difficult for them to achieve a good score overall.
On the other hand, live poker has been and is likely still a highly lucrative enterprise for professional players. The live player average is much lower than the online player estimate. This may be because, in casinos, live poker is practiced and thus encourages individuals who play poker to bargain instead of because they are successful at it. Or it could be because of live poker’s social aspect. It’s a mix of both, perhaps. 
For more interesting articles about poker or poker news, keep reading PokerShots! 

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Is Hellmuth vs Negreanu happening?

Bradley Beal looked miserable on Wizards bench, prompting flood of empathy from Twitter
February 16, 2021 0 Comments


We recap some stories you may have missed including a huge PKO event and how much of himself is Landon Tice playing for?

KidPoker vs the Poker Brat?
We hinted at it last week and now it seems confirmed that Daniel Negreanu and Phil Hellmuth will play heads-up. 
Given both men are traditionally live players it seems inevitable that it will be face to face and streamed on PokerGO. 
The early betting markets have suggested Hellmuth is the favourite, which seems ludicrous given how much Negreanu improved in his heads-up challenge against Doug Polk. 

Happy to play anyone on @PokerGo App’s “High Stakes Duel.” Looks like they are bringing me the GREAT Daniel Negreanu @RealKidPoker, the guy that studied heads up for months w coaches I respect, so be it. It will be a great challenge for me! Hoping I don’t look like THIS photo!! pic.twitter.com/EpE1BqRMWP
— phil_hellmuth (@phil_hellmuth) February 13, 2021

Tice has skin in the game
The other big heads-up match in the works is Landon Tice vs Bill Perkins, and it has been the subject of a lot of debate this last week.
Namely, how much does the poker wunderkind Landon Tice have invested in himself? Rumours circulated that he is playing for just 10% of himself in this challenge where he is already paying Bill Perkins $720,000 to play. 
Tice confirmed that he has sold a lot of action for this event but while his percentage is low, it still means he has a lot of his net worth on the line:

Let me make something clear that I’m sure everyone cares about regarding my challenge with @bp22 I’m selling a lot of action for it. A lot.I’m not rolled to battle at nosebleeds. However, I am putting a very large amount of my relative net worth on myself winning it.
— Landon (@LandonTice) February 11, 2021

MicroMillions the biggest PKO ever?
The MicroMillions Main Event was a PKO for the first time in its history and it (probably) automatically became the biggest field ever for a progressive knockout tournament. 
49,487 entries for the $22 Main Event, which was not quite enough to hit the $1 million guarantee. 
It did lead to one player bagging almost $60,000 for their troubles including $18,651.13 in bounties alone:

The final table

Table stakes only
OK, so this week’s meme classic from Reddit beats all those ‘toilet roll poker home game’ jokes from last year:
When Polaks Play Poker from r/poker

Will we see Hellmuth vs Negreanu heads-up? Let us know in the comments:

Barry Carter
Barry Carter is the editor of PokerStrategy.com and the co-author of The Mental Game of Poker 1 & 2, Poker Satellite Strategy and PKO Poker Strategy



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Did the next Macau bubble just start two weeks ago?

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February 16, 2021 0 Comments


The entire concept of a “bull market in stocks” makes little sense. Sound crazy? These days, certainly, because we’re always hearing about a perpetual bull market in stocks. Valuations increasingly disconnected from economic reality, asset bubbles in one class or another, armies of speculators moving like zombie hoards descending on the next fad and blowing it up to infinity and beyond, Buzz Lightyear-like.Why is the whole concept of a bull market generally, nonsense? Because if the value of everything is going up simultaneously, then nothing is going up. If everyone is a superhero, nobody is. If, in an imaginary economy, absolutely everything costs, say, $5, (labor, land, capital whatever) and then the next day everything costs $10, then what’s changed? The answer is absolutely nothing.The only thing that matters is relative valuations between asset classes. Let’s divide them into three of the most basic ones. Equities (stocks), bonds (debt), and commodities (consumer goods). If all three are going up in tandem, then there is no “bull market” in anything. If commodities are going up faster than stocks and bonds, you have inflation, or even hyperinflation. Ask anyone in Venezuela whether they care that their stock market is doing great, nominally. They don’t. They’re looking for their next glop of gruel or morsel of moldy bread to survive the day.But if stocks and bonds are rising and consumer goods are static to falling, you have a bull market in financial assets. This is where we are now. And boy are we really hard and deep into it now. Below is the ratio of the S&P 500 to the CRB Commodities Index.And I’ve got news for everyone. This bull market in stocks relative to consumer goods in dollar terms is already over. It ended almost a year ago. On April 20, 2020 to be exact. Red circle blowoff top above. That was when oil crashed to negative $35 a barrel and we all lived in an alternative financial freakhouse universe. But I have more news than that. This entire “bull market” in stocks has been one gigantic illusion from the very beginning. Stocks aren’t going up. They haven’t gone up for 21 years. Money is going down. Here is the graph of stocks relative to the prime monetary commodity, gold, over the same timeframe above.We can see here that from 1990 to 2000, we had a real bull market in stocks. Equities rocketed in gold terms and in terms of consumer goods generally. Everyone felt richer. Portfolios up, expenses down. But since that time, money has been dying at an accelerated pace and the standard of living has fallen.The bull market in stocks over the last 21 years has been an illusion, a tiny echo of the bull that ended at the turn of the century. We have spent the last 21 years trying to reinflate it, but gold has exposed the lie. We are now at the point where the illusion is about to collapse completely. In my view, we have only a few months left until it all hits the fan. Until then, the bubbles will keep coming in staccato frenetic fashion, moving from one asset class to another faster and faster, until we all get so dizzy we can’t follow it anymore. Last week I speculated that maybe the next target for the zombie hoard will be in penny gaming stocks. I was close. It’s in Macau stocks. It may already have started two weeks ago. The frenzy has started over news about China opening up again. I mean, just look at this crazy chart of the Macau proxy ETF:That last surge higher is just since February 1. We could be at the beginning of a crazy but brief ride higher in Macau stocks right now. New all time highs again, and Macau isn’t even fully open yet. The latest full month statistics for December show a 78.6% drop in visitors year over year. And yet we’re at new all time highs in these stocks already. It’s just completely crazy. I can understand the Macau opening up again trade, but to argue that this factor is being priced in at these levels, at new all time highs? As if none of this full year shutdown hurt any of the casinos fundamentally at all? That’s just totally bonkers crazy. It’s a reflection of the value of the currency these stocks are priced in, not the stocks themselves.What’s happening is that the zombie hoard of bubble chasers is reading the headlines regarding China starting to open up again, and they’re slamming buy orders and call options like they’ve been doing with tech stocks and Gamestop and BTC and all the other fads. We just got news out of Bloomberg that China’s Imax had a face-ripping rally due to exploding ticket sales. China is, indeed opening up, and the zombie hoard of speculators is now going to spray their money hoses at anything Chinese. Macau might be at the center of it.How high can this Macau bubble go, if that’s what we just saw start two weeks ago? The truth is, it doesn’t matter. If you get into it, you’ll get hooked and keep levering yourself up, counting your paper gains, unable to separate from them until you get caught in a vortex. At some point, my view this year, it’s all going to come crashing down when all the damage from 2020 is finally revealed all over the world. You can’t paper it over forever. The damage to Macau casinos doesn’t just go away. It festers in the form of more and more debt, and a damaged consumer base that can no longer patronize casinos in the way it once could. Festering wounds need the paper bandage removed and they need to be operated on. That is painful. And it’s coming.When we think of the word “bubble”, what are we really talking about? A bubble is something that looks, from the outside, to be really big and stable. The shape of it, a sphere, is the most stable shape in the universe. It’s why planets, stars, moons, and possibly even the spacetime continuum itself, spontaneously shape themselves into spheres. The force of gravity equalizes at every point on the sphere, forming equilibrium. Nature always seeks equilibrium. And so bubbles take on the illusion of stability, but unlike a real sphere, there’s nothing inside them. When they pop, they are gone almost instantly. This one is about to pop. Macau appears to be the next victim sucked up by the bubble. Macau will survive and rebuild. The question is, in what form? I wouldn’t take a bet the depended on me getting the answer to that question right.

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Super Bowl Streaker Bet $50,000 on Himself but Bovada Won’t Pay Out

ดู WSOP บน PokerNews Twitch ทันที;  Chris Moneymaker ในความคิดเห็น
February 16, 2021 0 Comments


09:1116 FebOnline sportsbook Bovada likely won’t be paying out the largest supposedly winning wager on whether a streaker would disrupt the Super Bowl LV game between the Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers after the site discovered the streaker was part of a group having placed a large bet on such an event occurring during the game.Yuri Andrade, the 31-year-old Florida man who briefly disrupted the game with his run in a pink leotard and black shorts, announced in an apperance on a Florida radio station Wild 94.1 talk show that he was part of a group that had bet $50,000 that a streaker would appear. Andrade told the show’s audience that his group had locked in the bet at +750, resulting in the high would-be payout.However, Bovada, a grey-market betting site offering services to many US states, quickly learned of Andrade’s admission. The site had already been aware of “suspicious activity” on the prop line, likely the overly large $50,000 wager. As a result, Bovada has already announced it will refund the wagers of all “no” bettors, while also screening for legitimacy all “yes” wagers made before officially grading them.The episode will likely do no publicity favors for Bovada, however, despite the site’s willingness to take a moderate financial hit. Bovada’s lines appear prominently throughout the US’s sports-betting world, on broadcasts and in live and online publications, and as a consequence the site remains under considerable pressure from the US’s growing licensed and regulated markets. At the very least, the event is likely to make Bovada reconsider offering prop bets of this nature, ones that have the potential to disrupt larger sporting events.“Our players have always trusted us to ensure the integrity of all props offered in our sportsbook,”Bovada stated. “We will continue to make sure that any publicity stunts or ill-intended behavior cannot adversely affect the outcome of a player’s wager.”It’s not the first time that streaking has figured into an online gambling story. Nearly 20 years ago, online casino site GoldenPalace.com garnered publicity by investing in all sorts of bizarre activities, including sponsoring serial streaker Mark Roberts’ dashes at events including Super Bowl XXXVIII in 2004. Roberts sported a temporary GoldenPalace.com tattoo during his runs, which were just a small part of the site’s bizarre guerilla marketing campaigns.Did you like this article?Tweet
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บาร์ตันซีอีโอของ Crown Resorts ลาออกหลังจากรายงานการฟอกเงินอย่างหนัก

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February 16, 2021 0 Comments


เผยแพร่เมื่อ: 15 กุมภาพันธ์ 2021, 01: 14h. อัปเดตครั้งสุดท้าย: 15 กุมภาพันธ์ 2564 03: 23 น. ประธานเจ้าหน้าที่บริหารของ Crown Resorts Ken Barton ลาออกเมื่อวันจันทร์หลังจาก บริษัท ออกรายงานที่น่ารังเกียจซึ่งทำให้ บริษัท ทำงานอย่างหนักเพื่อขอใบอนุญาตในนิวเซาท์เวลส์ แม้ว่าจะมีเสียงวิพากษ์วิจารณ์อย่างรุนแรงเกี่ยวกับผลงานของ Ken Barton ในฐานะ CEO ของ Crown แต่คาดว่าเขาจะได้รับการต้อนรับเป็นอย่างดี การลาออกของ Patton เป็นเรื่องที่น่ากังวลเนื่องจากอดีตผู้พิพากษาศาลฎีกาแห่งรัฐนิวเซาท์เวลส์ Patricia Bergin ได้ออกรายงาน รายงานระบุว่าเขา“ ไม่ตรงตามความต้องการของผู้ถือใบอนุญาตคาสิโนปัญหาของเขาจะไม่ได้รับการแก้ไขโดยการแต่งตั้งผู้เชี่ยวชาญในสาขารายงานให้เขาทราบ”“ การส่งเสริมการฟอกเงินทำให้เจ้าหน้าที่มีความเสี่ยงที่จะถูกควบคุมตัวในเขตอำนาจศาลต่างประเทศและ แสวงหาความสัมพันธ์ทางธุรกิจกับบุคคลที่เกี่ยวข้องกับกลุ่มสามกลุ่มและกลุ่มอาชญากรรมที่จัดตั้งขึ้น” ขอแนะนำว่า ILGA ผู้ควบคุมการเล่นเกมของรัฐปฏิเสธที่จะต่ออายุใบอนุญาตการเล่นเกมของ Crown นิวเซาท์เวลส์. ตามรายงานของ Guardian บริษัท ได้เปิดรีสอร์ทมูลค่า 1.7 พันล้านดอลลาร์ในซิดนีย์ในเดือนธันวาคมปีที่แล้วโดยไม่มีการดำเนินการคาสิโนเงินจ่าย 3 ล้านเหรียญออสเตรเลียแม้ว่าจะมีเพียงหนึ่งในนั้นเท่านั้นที่ระบุไว้ในรายงานของ Bergen แต่ Button คาดว่าจะได้รับ รายได้อย่างน้อย 3 ล้านดอลลาร์ออสเตรเลีย (2.3 ล้านดอลลาร์ออสเตรเลีย) เพื่อตอบสนองต่อข้อกล่าวหาของสื่อที่ว่า Krona อำนวยความสะดวกในการฟอกเงินที่อสังหาริมทรัพย์ในเมลเบิร์นและเพิร์ ธ Patton แสดงให้เห็นว่า “ขาดการดูแลอย่างมาก” ก่อนดำรงตำแหน่ง CFO เขารับผิดชอบบัญชี VIP สองบัญชีเป็นการส่วนตัว Birkin กล่าวว่าแก๊งอาชญากรใช้เงินดำเพื่อฟอกเงินของกิจกรรมที่ผิดกฎหมายในเดือนมกราคมปี 2020 Patton ได้รับการแต่งตั้งให้เป็นประธานเจ้าหน้าที่บริหารและอยู่กับ บริษัท มากว่าสิบปี เฮเลนคูแนนประธานคณะกรรมการคนปัจจุบันจะดำรงตำแหน่งต่อไปจนกว่าจะพบซีอีโอคนใหม่ “ สมมติว่าตำแหน่งประธานบริหารเป็นการตัดสินใจว่าฉันจะไม่ผลีผลามอย่างไรก็ตามคณะกรรมการ บริษัท เชื่อว่าจะทำให้ บริษัท มีความเป็นผู้นำที่มั่นคงและมีความมั่นใจในช่วงเวลาสำคัญทางธุรกิจนี้” Coonan ประกาศต่อตลาดหลักทรัพย์แห่งออสเตรเลีย กล่าวในการแถลงข่าว. Koonan กล่าวเมื่อวันจันทร์ว่า บริษัท กำลังดำเนิน “ขั้นตอนสำคัญในการปรับปรุงการกำกับดูแลการปฏิบัติตามกฎระเบียบและวัฒนธรรมของเรา” Exodus Barton ติดตามผู้บริหารของ Crown อีกห้าคน ได้แก่ John Johnston และ Guy Jalland ซึ่งเป็นตัวแทนของมหาเศรษฐี Michael James ผู้ถือหุ้นรายใหญ่ที่สุดของคณะกรรมการในฐานะสมาชิกคณะกรรมการ เบ็คคินวิพากษ์วิจารณ์ปาร์กเกอร์ว่าทำตัวเหมือน “ผู้อำนวยการโดยพฤตินัย” แม้จะดำรงตำแหน่งในคณะกรรมการบริหารมาหลายปีแล้วก็ตามและแนะนำว่าเธอแนะนำให้ตั้งค่าการถือหุ้น 10% ในการเป็นเจ้าของ ซึ่งหมายความว่า Packer จะถูกบังคับให้สละหุ้นส่วนใหญ่ใน บริษัท หากไม่ใช่ทั้งหมด Packer ระบุในคำให้การของเขาในคำถามของ Bergin ว่าหากเขาปกป้อง Crown เขาก็พร้อมที่จะสละหุ้นใน Crown ใบอนุญาตของ บริษัท

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Sports gambling continues to be a huge success in Indiana

Lakers and Sixers เน้นโควต้า NBA ในวันพุธ
February 16, 2021 0 Comments


Hoosiers love their basketball. Ask anyone in Indiana and they’ll tell you that basketball isn’t just a sport; it’s a religion. The Indiana University Hoosiers’ basketball program has always been one of the best in the U.S. and the NCAA Hall of Champions is located in Indianapolis as a testament to the state’s attraction to basketball. On the NBA level, the Indiana Pacers have a massive following across the state, and all the attention given to hoops is paying off in a big way. Indiana continues to set new records with its sports gambling market, most of which is coming from basketball.In February of last year, the Indiana Gaming Commission (IGC) reported a handle of $187 million, a 10% increase from January. That wasn’t surprising, given the NFL Super Bowl action; however, assuming the money went to football would be wrong. The Big Game received $11.6 million in bets, while college and pro basketball accounted for over $90 million. Indiana continued to raise the bar on the sports gambling industry when the state’s sportsbooks recorded $251.4 million in November of last year, a $20-million increase over the prior month’s action. Much of that was destined for football as the NFL and college games were heating up, but, if there was any doubt of the importance of basketball in Indiana, the most recent numbers will push all of it aside. The IGC just released the latest figures on sports gambling and January was another record-setting month, the fifth consecutive month of breaking records. $348.2 million was wagered in the state last month, an increase of 11.2% over December and more than 100% over January 2020. Of that amount, $133.2 million went to hoops, making it the most money ever spent on one sport in the state. Football only got $77.6 million of the action. That’s not only good news for sportsbooks operating in the state, but it’s good news for the state’s budget, as well. With a tax of 9.5%, January gave Indiana’s government almost $2.8 million in tax revenue and, over the past 12 months, the state has received over $20 million. That’s not too bad for a local industry that has only been around since September 2019. Indiana can thank its neighbors for some of its additional wealth. Kentucky and Ohio don’t yet have sports gambling, although legislation is in the works, so gamblers in both of the states often hop over the border to place their bets. Illinois has a robust sports gambling market and is ranked fourth in terms of handle among legal states, but it doesn’t allow gambling on in-state college games. As a result, it loses some of the potential action it could be receiving and which might allow it to brag as being first or second in the sports gambling rankings. 

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Addabbo Confident New York Mobile Sports Betting Can Launch This Year

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February 16, 2021 0 Comments


Posted on: February 15, 2021, 10:16h. 
Last updated on: February 15, 2021, 10:16h.

Steve Bittenbender

Read MoreNew York state Sen. Joseph Addabbo, Jr. (D-Queens), the lawmaker spearheading the push for the Empire State to embrace mobile sports betting, doesn’t just believe the state legislature will pass a bill soon to expand sports betting in the state.
New York state Sen. Joseph Addabbo Jr. takes part in a swearing-in ceremony for his seventh term last month. Addabbo is a leading lawmaker pushing to legalize mobile sports betting in the state. (Image: NYSenate.gov)He also believes the first bets could take place later this year.“I remain optimistic that should it be in the budget April 1st, with a little initiative, our state government can get it up and running by Sept. 9th, which is the first day of the NFL football season,” Addabbo told Casino.org in an interview.It’s been nearly three years since the US Supreme Court opened the door for sports betting nationwide. New York did take advantage and approve retail licenses for its four upstate casino resorts. In addition, Class III tribal casinos are also allowed to offer sportsbooks on their properties.However, analysts and observers point out that New York misses out on a significant revenue stream since it does not allow mobile applications.For example: According to the New York State Gaming Commission, the four retail sportsbooks in the state generated revenue totaling nearly $3.6 million in January. Over the same month, Indiana – a state with roughly a third of New York’s population – saw its mobile and retail operators earn $29.3 million in taxable revenue.The senator said New York usually leads the way when it comes to state policy.“We’re that car in the right lane with four wobbly wheels, and we’re limping along,” Addabbo said. “And these other fast cars like (New) Jersey and Pennsylvania are whizzing by us. That’s an odd spot for New York to be in.”Sports Betting Part of NY Budget TalksA recent study by Spectrum Gaming estimated that mobile sports betting could generate more than $1 billion in gross revenue for New York operators. If the state sets the tax rate at 10 percent, that would mean more than $100 million in annual revenue.Addabbo’s bill, Senate Bill S1183, as well as legislation sponsored by state Assemblyman Gary Pretlow (D-Mount Vernon), sets the rate an 8.5 percent. However, that rate, like other portions of the bill are open to negotiation, the senator said.The senator also noted that the original sports betting bill he filed a couple of years ago gave each casino one skin. Now, the bill offers them two, which means a potential of 14 skins, or mobile operators, for the state once the three downstate casinos are awarded.I think that’s all part of the budget negotiations,” Addabbo told Casino.org. “How many skins and the license fee and the tax rate that is all part and parcel of the budget negotiations. It’s all part of the discussions that we’re going to have, and that’s where we’ll have to come to some agreement.”Still, time is of the essence.April 1, the start of New York’s budget year, is just 45 days away as of Monday. While that’s six and a half weeks, as Gov. Andrew Cuomo told reporters Monday, “in government, 45 days is a blink of an eye.”Addabbo Concerned State-Run System Can’t Meet DemandThe good news is that Cuomo is on board with expanding sports betting in the state to include online applications. The bad news is, his vision for sports betting varies significantly from that of Addabbo and Pretlow. Those lawmakers chair the gaming committees in the respective chambers.Both lawmakers’ bills call for New York to operate sports betting like New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and Indiana. Each of the state’s casinos currently would get the chance to partner with two mobile operators.Cuomo, though, wants the state to be in more control. He wants a system more like the lottery allowing the state to derive more of the revenue. That approach resembles what Rhode Island, Montana, New Hampshire, Delaware, and Oregon have implemented.As Addabbo indicated, though, those states combined have a smaller population than New York.“I’m concerned about New York having a product that can handle the volume and the growing, expanding the market,” Addabbo told Casino.org.He also noted that Oregon leaders are already having second thoughts about their lottery-managed sports betting product.Just last month, Gov. Kate Brown requested that the state’s legislature take up a bill allowing the Oregon Racing Commission to regulate sports betting and grant licenses.“So, if it’s not good enough for Oregon, I don’t think it should be good enough for New York,” Addabbo said.

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Nine Oklahoma Casinos Close To Conserve State’s Power Supply

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February 16, 2021 0 Comments


Nine Oklahoma casinos are closing for a few days to help conserve power across the state as severe winter weather affects power grids in the state.
A massive ice and snow storm is affecting Texas and Oklahoma, two states that aren’t adept at handling it. It is causing most in the state to crank up their heating systems, which is putting a strain on the energy supply in both states.
The Cherokee Tribe announced earlier today that it will close all nine properties, including the Hard Rock Casino in Tulsa, at 5 p.m. and will stay closed until Wednesday at 1 p.m., according to a report from a local Fox affiliate. The reopening date could get pushed back if weather conditions don’t change.
The Southwest Power Pool, which provides energy to Oklahoma, Texas, Arkansas, Kansas, New Mexico, Louisiana, Missouri, South Dakota, North Dakota, Montana, Minnesota, Iowa, Wyoming and Nebraska said that they were running low on energy supply Monday.
Poker pro Bart Hanson, who recently moved to Austin, tweeted a video Sunday that showed how bad the winter storm is. The video showed a car slowly sliding out of control down a neighborhood road and bumping into other cars along the way.
Some crazy shit going on here in Austin. I did not record this but from a few blocks over.. pic.twitter.com/ebbetkKYAZ— Bart Hanson (@BartHanson) February 15, 2021
 

 

 

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What to Do Versus a Big River Bet (3 Simple Tips)

ผู้บริหารเศรษฐีคาสิโนเดินทางมากกว่า 1,000 ไมล์เพื่อข้ามคิววัคซีน
February 16, 2021 0 Comments

This article was written by blackrain79.com contributor Fran Ferlan.

Playing the river optimally is what makes or breaks your winrate. 

It’s the biggest money street and you often have to make a decision for your
whole stack. The amount of money in the pot by the river often paralyzes
players, because they are overly focused on the pot size, which affects their
decision making process. 

So what should you do versus a big river bet? Well, when you ask a broad
question, you tend to get a broad answer, so here it is: it depends.

There’s a lot of factors to consider here: your opponent type, previous
action, board runout, pot odds, your relative hand strength, just to name a
few.

Not a huge help, so let’s try to break it down in this article.

1. Try to Bluff Catch Versus Loose and Aggressive Players

Let’s start with the type of player we are up against. Most players will
primarily bet for value when they fire off a big river bet, especially at the
micros. 

The only exception would be loose and aggressive players. This is true for
both regulars and aggrofish. You can generally call wider against aggrofish
than you would against LAG regulars. The looser and more aggressive the
player, the wider you should call them down. 

This is an advanced poker strategy that works extremely well in today’s small stakes games. BlackRain79 discusses it in more detail in this video:
So in practice, this means that sometimes you should call them down with hands
you wouldn’t be comfortable calling with otherwise, like top pair weak kicker,
second pair, two pair on a wet board and such. 

It’s important to trust your judgment in these situations, otherwise you’re
better off folding earlier if you suspect you’re going to get barrelled and
pushed out of the pot. 

However, just because someone is loose and aggressive, doesn’t mean they will
have only bluffs in their range, especially on the river.

The board runout is an important factor when deciding how wide you should
call. Generally speaking, the drier the board, the wider you can bluff
catch. 

Why? 

Because your opponent sees the same community cards you see, and if they bet
huge on the river, they’re basically saying that the board doesn’t scare them
and they don’t care what you are holding. 

On the other hand, if the river bricks (i.e. a river card doesn’t change
anything significantly, because it fails to complete any straight or flush
draws, for example), your more observant opponents might put you on a busted
draw and try to bluff you out of the pot. 

They can also have a busted draw of their own, as decently winning LAGs know
the power of semibluffing on earlier streets, and know a large majority of
their opponents won’t have the heart to call down their triple barrel without
a monster hand.

In this situation, you should look for an opportunity to bluff catch with your
top pair or second pair, for example. Bear in mind that this isn’t something
you should try to do often, as these kinds of situations are more of an
exception than the rule, but who doesn’t love a good hero call from time to
time?

If you’re able to pick off a huge pot with a mediocre hand, it can do wonders
to your bottom line, as most players wouldn’t have the nerve to pull it
off. 

It will also make it more difficult to play against you, because you’ll show
that you are able to call down in less than ideal circumstances, and won’t be
pushed around. 

Just a disclaimer: 

Know that it’s a high-risk, high reward play, and should be attempted only in
specific circumstances, against specific opponents, on specific boards and
against specific previous action. 

You should base it on sound information and tells you’ve picked up on, not
just the feeling that this guy is bluffing, I’m gonna call him down with my
Ace-high.

Big River Bet Example Hand #1

Effective stack size: 100BB.

You are dealt A♦8♦ in the BB.

A LAG reg open-raises to 3x from the BU.
SB folds, you call.

Pot: 6.5BB.

Flop: T♣7♠6♥

You check. Villain bets 3BB. You call.

Pot: 12.5BB.

Turn: 2♣
You check. Villain bets 6BB. You call.

Pot: 24.5BB.

River: A♠
You check. Villain bets 16BB.

You: ???

You should call.

This is a great spot to bluff catch based on our opponent type, previous
action, and the board runout. Let’s break it down.

A loose and aggressive reg open raises from the button. We assume their range
is very wide here, probably close to 50% of all hands. We have a decent
speculative hand. We can even opt to 3-bet light from time to time, but we
decide to flat call.

We flop a gutshot straight draw, and we expect the villain to fire off a c-bet
with pretty much a 100% of their range, which he does.

The turn doesn’t change much for us, except it puts a possible flush draw on
the board. The villain double barrels, but since not much has changed for us
from flop to turn, and are getting about 3:1 odds on a call, we decide to
continue.

The river doesn’t complete our gutshot, but we do end up improving to a top
pair. Is it good enough for a call? Let’s look at it from the villain’s
perspective. 

We didn’t give him any reason to assume we are holding an Ace. In fact, we
checked three times, so if they had to put us on a range, they would assume we
have a Tx hand, a busted straight or a flush draw. 

Conveniently, that’s a part of their perceived range as well. The river comes
with a scare card, so it wouldn’t be a surprise if they tried to buy the pot
there.

Are we going to be good a hundred percent of the time? Of course not, but we
don’t need to be. This is something that BlackRain79 talks about in Modern Small Stakes.

They have a significant amount of bluffs in their range for our call to be
+EV, considering their player type, their open-raising position, our passive
lines, non-coordinated board and so on. 

When we take all of that into consideration, we can infer that we can call
profitably.

As for the aggrofish, aka complete maniacs, you can widen your river calling
ranges considerably. It is also a high risk, high reward play, but these
players are the only ones that will have a significant amount of bluffs on the
river. 

Why? 

Because their ranges are already extremely wide on previous streets, so it’s
fair to assume they will get to the river with all kinds of busted draws,
Ace-high hands, fourth pair etc.

While their aggression can certainly be profitable in the short term, as even
they can occasionally catch a monster hand, they will be the most significant
long term losers. 

You can’t outrun math. So when playing against them, you should be making more
hero calls than you would usually be inclined. 

Be aware that their maniacal ways are usually short-lived, so you should try
to get them to donate their stacks to you before the next guy. 

And you usually won’t have the luxury of waiting around for the monster hand
to try and trap them. 

So next time you find yourself facing a huge river bet against them, go with
your gut, take a deep breath and call them down. Your winrate will thank you
for it.

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2. Look for Possible Completed Draws

As far as all the other player types are concerned, like fish who aren’t of
the aggro persuasion (which is most of them) and TAGs, you should be very
careful when calling big river bets. This is especially the case if they donk
bet big into you. (A donk bet is a bet made against the previous streets’
aggressor). 

Look for possible completed draws and ask yourself if their previous action
makes sense that way. If the answer is yes, your overpair or top two pair
probably isn’t good enough anymore. 

Think of it this way: would you bet big out of position on the river against
someone’s previous incessant aggression without a really strong hand? You
probably wouldn’t. And neither would the majority of the player pool at the
micro stakes. 

Big River Bet Example Hand #2

Effective stack size: 100BB.
You are dealt A♠Q♠ on the BU.

You open-raise to 3x.
SB folds, a loose passive fish calls in the BB.

Pot: 6.5BB

Flop: A♦3♦Q♥

Fish checks. You bet 5BB. Fish calls.

Pot: 16.5BB

Turn: 8♣
Fish checks. You bet 16.5BB. Fish calls.

Pot: 49.5

River: J♦

Fish bets 40BB.
You: ???

You should fold.

Let’s break down the action street by street.

There’s not much to say about preflop. We’re dealt a great hand on the button,
and we can assume the recreational player will call us down pretty wide in the
big blind.

We flop top two pair and should start building the pot as soon as possible. We
expect to get called by a bunch of Ax hands, gutshot straight draws, flush
draws, you name it.

The turn doesn’t change much, but it does add a couple of gutshot draws if our
opponent called the flop with hands like JT, J9, or T9, for example. 

We’re still miles ahead of villain’s range, so we decide to charge them a
premium for their drawing hands. We can even consider overbettting, but we go
for a pot sized bet.

And we get one of the worst river cards possible. The fish fires off a huge
donk bet. There is nothing left for us to do but bemoan our luck and fold
begrudgingly. 

The Jack on the river completes a number of straight draws and a flush draw.
If we go back to preflop, we should expect this particular opponent to have
practically all suited junk in their range. 

Fish love chasing draws, and they love playing suited junk. Nevermind the fact
that the chances of flopping a flush are only 0.8%.

Now, we could argue that it’s a fish, they don’t know what they’re doing, they
could be bluffing. Or they could have any number of two pair hands we’re ahead
of. Fair enough.

But if they did have a two pair hand, for example, wouldn’t they go for a
check-call option, considering such a scary board? 

Even fish can see three diamonds on a board. And yes, they could be bluffing,
but there is nothing in their previous history that would suggest that.

You should always be on the lookout for disrupting patterns when playing
poker. 

If an otherwise weak and timid opponent suddenly starts blasting off big bets,
they didn’t just randomly decide to mix it up a little. They are politely
letting you know they have the nuts.

As a rule of thumb in poker in general, calling should be the last option you
consider. As the old adage goes, if your hand is good enough for a call, it’s
good enough for a raise.

3. Check Your HUD Stats to Make an Informed Decision

But how do you know what type of player you’re up against? Well, the most
accurate way would be to check their VPIP (voluntarily put money in pot), PFR
(preflop raise) and AF (aggression factor) in your poker tracking software HUD.These are statistics which are placed right on your online poker table, beside each of your opponents, which tell you what type of player you are up against. This is highly useful information to have especially in the fast paced, multi-tabling, world of online poker. 

These three poker HUD stats alone can give you a pretty good idea of the type of player you’re
facing, and only after a hundred hands or so. Of course, the bigger the sample
size, the better, but you can draw some general conclusions pretty
quickly. 

However, as we all know, most hands don’t get to showdown, and while we can
make some wide generalizations about some player types, it’s better to have
more info than less. If you are using a HUD, you might want to consider adding
stats like WWSF, WTSD, and W$SD to accurately assess your opponent’s postflop
tendencies.
By the way, if you aren’t using a poker HUD yet, BlackRain79 shows you how to set up your HUD in less than 5 minutes in this video:

So, WWSF stands for Won When Saw Flop, and is a percentage of times a player won
the pot after seeing the flop. The lower the WWSF, the weaker the player,
meaning they play aggressively with very strong hands only, and conversely,
the higher the WWSF, the more they bluff and fight for the pot post flop.

Here is a rough estimation of the spectrum.Use These Specific HUD Stats to Make Optimal Decisions Versus a Big River Bet

If their WWSF is less than 42%, they are weak and give up too much post flop. They don’t bluff enough, and if they give you action, especially on the big
money streets (turn and river) they have a very strong hand.

WWSF between 42% and 52% is the average. Of course, the higher the number, the
more often they bluff.

If their WWSF is bigger than 52%, they bluff way too often. You can call them
down widely and use their aggression against them.

WTSD stands for Went to Showdown, and shows the % of times a player, well,
went to showdown.

A player with a WTSD below 20% is an extreme nit, and goes to showdown with
very strong hands only.

A WTSD between about 24% and 27% is the norm for most winning players. Players with a WTSD above 30% are huge calling stations, and you should value
bet them relentlessly.

W$SD or Won Money at Showdown (or WSD) indicates the % of times a player won
the pot after the showdown. It’s inversely proportional to the WTSD, i.e. a
player with a low WTSD will have a big W$SD because they only see the showdown
with very strong hands, and huge calling stations will have a low W$SD because
they call down with a bunch of garbage hands.

Nitty players will have a W$SD of about 60% or more, fishy players about 40%
or less. Solid winning players will therefore be right in the middle with
about 50%.

One very important caveat, these stats require a huge sample size in order to
be accurate. 

You will need 500 hands at the bare minimum to make any informed assumptions.
1000 hands is a decent sample size, but they get really accurate only after
5000 hands or so.

Needless to say, the more they tend towards the extremes of the spectrum, the
less hands you need to be sure, and the more you can exploit them by either
overbluffing or betting for value, depending on which side they fall.
If you want to learn much more about all these HUD stats make sure you check out BlackRain79’s popular optimal HUD setup guide.

Summary

In order to play the river effectively, you need to take into account a number
of factors, including, but not limited to: the pot odds, your relative hand
strength, board runout, type of opponent you’re up against, previous action
and so on.

You basically have to apply all of your theoretical knowledge at the same
time. While it may seem daunting at first, the more you practice, the more
automatic the process will become, and after a while you’ll be able to put
your opponents on correct ranges, maybe even zero in on their exact hand.

It will certainly take a great deal of practice, because as we know, most
hands don’t even get to showdown, and river spots are so rare and unique that
it’s hard to even try to answer what to do in these spots in a single article.

However, there are some general guidelines you should adhere to:

First of all, big river bets usually indicate a strong made hand, especially
at the micros. Most players will bet for value, and aren’t really inclined to
risk a significant portion of their stack without something to back it up.

The only exception would be loose and aggressive players, and maybe some solid
tight and aggressive players who know what they’re doing, and know that a well
timed aggression can go a long way. 

But again, these are quite rare at the micros.

So against LAGs, you should try to bluff catch from time to time if you
believe they have a significant amount of bluffs in their range. 

Just bear in mind that it’s a high variance play, so be prepared to take it in
stride when they actually had the nuts all along.

Against aggrofish (aka maniac fish) you should widen your river calling ranges
significantly, and be prepared to call them down with less than ideal
holdings. 

Don’t wait around for a monster hand, because these don’t come along as often,
and try to take their stack before the next guy. 

Lastly, if an otherwise weak and timid player starts making huge bets, your
top pair hand probably isn’t good enough anymore. 

Look for completed draws and assume they have it. Make a disciplined laydown
and live to fight another day. 

One bonus tip, be sure to practice hand history review off the felt. Filter
for the hands that went to showdown, and try to narrow your opponent’s range
street by street. 

Talk to yourself out loud and tell yourself all the information you have. This
will sharpen your decision-making skills in-game, and you’ll be able to
accurately assess your opponent’s ranges in no time. 

You’ll be able to read souls, make all kinds of huge laydowns and hero calls
like a pro. Just remember, practice makes perfect.

.

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ผู้บริหารเศรษฐีคาสิโนเดินทางมากกว่า 1,000 ไมล์เพื่อข้ามคิววัคซีน
February 16, 2021 0 Comments

เนื่องจากดูเหมือนว่า IPL จะใกล้เข้ามามากขึ้นอัตราต่อรองก็ถูกกำหนดโดยเจ้ามือรับแทงหลายราย แน่นอนว่าโอกาสเหล่านี้จะไม่ถูกแช่แข็ง หลังจากการประมูลและโครงสร้างทีมแล้วอัตราต่อรองจะเปลี่ยนไป อย่างไรก็ตามสถิติและผลงานของทีมในปัจจุบันมีส่วนทำให้ราคาที่แสดงอยู่ในขณะนี้ รายการโปรดมีรายการโปรดมากมายในฤดูกาล IPL นี้ คนแรกแน่นอนคือแชมป์ของฤดูกาลที่แล้วชาวอินเดียมุมไบ นอกจากนี้ Delhi Capitals และ Royal Challengers Bangalore ก็ดูเหมือนจะได้เปรียบ นี่คือรายละเอียดของอัตราต่อรองที่เป็นไปได้: อินเดียนแดงมุมไบ – อัตราต่อรอง: 5.00 ชาวอินเดียมุมไบชนะในฤดูกาลที่แล้วและทีมสามารถชนะ IPL ได้ 5 ครั้ง Quinton de Kock, Suryakumar Yadav และ Ishan Kishan ทำคะแนนได้อย่างเหลือเชื่อส่วน Trent Boult และ Jasprit Bumrah ก็ผ่านพ้นไม่ได้เมื่อต้องใช้วิกเก็ต โดยรวมแล้วด้านนี้ยังแสดงศักยภาพได้อีกมาก Delhi Capitals – อันดับ: 5.50 ในขณะที่ Delhi Capitals อาจไม่เคยได้รับรางวัล IPL Trophy มาก่อน แต่พวกเขาก็เข้าใกล้ Trophy อย่างแน่นอน ในฤดูกาลที่แล้วพวกเขามาเป็นอันดับสองและนั่นหมายความว่าพวกเขาหมดหวังกับถ้วยรางวัลในครั้งนี้ มือที่มีความสามารถของ Anrich Nortje และ Kagiso Rabada จะเป็นผู้นำทีม ราบาดาเป็นชื่อแรกในปี 2020 ในรายชื่อผู้ทำรายชื่อบ็อกซ์ออฟฟิศ ดังนั้นความสนใจของประชาชนและเจ้ามือรับแทงจึงติดอยู่ที่หน้าจอสำหรับ DC Royal Challengers Bangalore – Rating: 6.00 Royal Challengers Bangalore – ชื่อนี้อาจจะลงไปในประวัติศาสตร์ในฐานะผู้ที่ไม่ได้รับการเปิดเผยจากฤดูกาล IPL ที่ผ่านมา พวกเขาไม่สามารถผ่านเข้ารอบตัดเชือกได้ซึ่งน่าเศร้าจริงๆ เป็นที่ชัดเจนว่าความสอดคล้องเป็นปัญหากับทีม RCB เนื่องจากไม่มีปัญหาการขาดแคลนบิ๊กเนม ด้วยกัปตัน Virat Kohli เป็นผู้นำทีม RCB สามารถคงความแข็งแกร่งได้หากเขาสามารถกลับมามีความสม่ำเสมออีกครั้ง Chennai Super Kings – อัตราต่อรอง: 7.00 CSK จบที่สองและเป็นที่ชัดเจนว่าพวกเขาเป็นหนึ่งในทีมเต็งในปี 2021 พวกเขาได้รับรางวัลในปี 2010, 2011 และในปี 2018 Dhoni อาจเลิกเล่นคริกเก็ตทุกรูปแบบ แต่มันก็เป็น ยังจะเป็นผู้นำ CSK ในฤดูกาล IPL นี้ ดังนั้นผู้คนจึงต้องการที่จะเห็นว่า Dhoni จะรักษาฟอร์มของตัวเองได้อย่างไรและเขาจะนำทีม CSK ไปสู่ชัยชนะที่น่าจะเป็นไปได้อย่างไร Sunrisers Hyderabad – อัตราต่อรอง: 7.00 Sunrisers เป็นที่รู้จักในฐานะทีมที่ชนะในฤดูกาลแรกด้วย IPL Trophy วอร์เนอร์เป็นนักวิ่งที่ดีที่สุดในประวัติศาสตร์ IPL ดังนั้นหากเราดู Sunrisers คุณจะรู้ว่าทีมมี Rashid Khan (นักขว้างลูกอันดับหนึ่งใน T20) และ Warner เป็นลูกแบทแมนทุกคนต้องการใช้ประโยชน์สูงสุดจากฤดูกาล IPL นี้ Kolkata Knight Riders – อัตราต่อรอง: 7.50 KKR ได้รับรางวัลสองครั้งและนั่นก็นานมาแล้ว – ในปี 2014 พวกเขาวิ่งได้อย่างเจ็บปวดเมื่อฤดูกาลที่แล้วแพ้รอบตัดเชือก อย่างไรก็ตาม KKR อาจแข็งแกร่งขึ้นในเวลานี้ หวังว่าพวกเขาจะเปลี่ยนแปลงโครงสร้างทีมของพวกเขาบ้าง Eoin Morgan และ Shubman Gill เป็นชื่อดังที่สามารถนำพาทีมไปข้างหน้าได้ Andre Russell ชื่อใหญ่อาจไม่ได้สร้างความแตกต่างกับค้างคาวและเขายังคงเป็นผู้เล่นที่น่าเกรงขาม ทุกอย่างขึ้นอยู่กับรูปแบบของทีมหากพวกเขาต้องการสร้างชื่อเสียงในปี 2564 IPL Kings XI Punjab – อัตราต่อรอง: 10.00 ทีมที่โชคร้ายนี้ไม่สามารถทำเครื่องหมายในประวัติศาสตร์ IPL ได้ทั้งหมด ปัญจาบไม่เคยได้รับตำแหน่งและเจ้ามือรับแทงก็ไม่ได้ให้ความหวังกับพวกเขามากนัก KL Rahul เป็นผู้นำในการแข่งขันเมื่อฤดูกาลที่แล้ว แต่ถึงอย่างนั้นจุดอ่อนของปัญจาบก็ยังคงไม่สามารถรับวิกเก็ตได้ หวังว่าพวกเขาจะสามารถซิงโครไนซ์ช็อตดีๆกับพลังโบว์ลิ่ง Rajasthan Royals – ราคาต่อรอง: 10.00 RR ชนะการแข่งขัน IPL ครั้งแรก แต่ไม่มีการเปลี่ยนแปลงมากนักหลังจากนั้น พวกเขายืนอยู่ที่ด้านล่างของตารางเมื่อฤดูกาลที่แล้วดังนั้นจึงมีความหวังเพียงเล็กน้อยกับทีมนี้ พวกเขามีสตีฟสมิ ธ อยู่ในทีม แต่นอกเหนือจากนั้นฟอร์มของพวกเขาก็น่าเบื่อ ไม่สามารถคาดเดาได้ว่าใครจะเป็นผู้ชนะ IPL ของฤดูกาลนี้ MI ดูยอดเยี่ยมในตอนนี้ แต่ส่วนใหญ่จะขึ้นอยู่กับการประมูลและโครงสร้างของทีม อัตราต่อรองเหล่านั้นน่าจะเปลี่ยนไปมาก ดังนั้นจงลืมตาไว้ วางเดิมพันที่ดีที่สุดของคุณบนแพลตฟอร์มกีฬา JeetWin ลุ้นรับรางวัลสุดพิเศษจากเรา!

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